Future disruptions

 Last time I whittered on about current crises.

And (pessimistically) said that there are more to come.

Ok, so what do I think they are?

First, obviously, is climate change.  It is time to stop pretending it is not happening.  We can moderate the impact, and work to slow the change.  The time is right because renewable energy is also energy less dependent on fossil fuels, and so strategically acts to limit the impact of oil/gas disruption.

Secondly, AI.  Never mind how well it works - it will get better.  But what will happen to our economy?  What will happen to your business?  If you have an AI buying from an AI sales bot, then you have a lower headcount.  But then who are the people buying your products and services if we massively reduce our collective workforces? I don't know, but you should.

Thirdly, Demographics.  People still seem to think that the world is going to explode in population over the next few years.  The reality of a shrinking EU population, a shrinking Korea, a shrinking Chine, a shrinking Japan just is not in people's minds.  Yes the global population is projected to increase by 20/25% from 8 billion to 10 billion.... but there are other scenarios that say actually it go no higher than 8.5 or 9 billion.  Malthus was wrong (thankfully) but these are ideas are not really in the public arena.

fourth, the decline of democracy - authoritarianism and corruption go hand in hand.  And both are on the rise across the globe.  Reversing those trends will be difficult, but without it we are all in a heap of trouble.

Fifth, people still do not realise how important Procurement is, and how important it is to invest in my training courses.

Come on, I can't be all serious!

I am sure that there are lots of things I've missed.  Always interested to hear.