Showing posts with label trade balance. Show all posts
Showing posts with label trade balance. Show all posts

Monday, 7 April 2025

Tariffs - wow!

 The world has changed.  It is not the same is it was on 31st March 2025.

I'm not in a position to tell you what to do in response, apart from to suggest that doing nothing is not an option.

The good news for Procurement and Supply Chain professionals is that our organisations now need us, and need us to be on top of our game.

Even if you management has not requested you to do so, I recommend you look hard at your existing supply chains and review your Risk Registers.  Consider what might change and what your options are (if you have any).

The situation is likely to remain fluid for quite some time.  Good luck!

Monday, 20 April 2020

Canadian oil price is negative!

Wow!
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Oil-Prices/0-Oil-Forces-Canada-To-Shut-Down-Crude-Production.html

Ok, so Brent Crude is still $26, WTI is $10.  Those are amazingly low prices as it is.
But negative?  Oil they will pay you to take away?  Wow.

The last time it was that low?  About 25 years ago, 1998.  But of course that doesn't take account of inflation, and $11 in 1998 is $19 now. (details here)  In real money it is the lowest since 1946 - maybe ever (here).

If you are a Brit of course, this matters because we are still an oil producing nation, and in fact it is our 5th biggest export (after equipment, cars, pharmaceuticals, electrical equipment - and we aren't exporting many cars at the moment either).  Not good for our economy in that sense - but obviously cheaper fuel has other benefits.  Fuel is our 3rd biggest import, so the imports will be cheaper.  And we import more than we export - so it is a net gain on our trade balance.  But the low price may make some fields less profitable, and indeed unstainable if the price stays low for long - which will hasten the end of the UK oil industry, leaving us with a gap in our exports.